Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.020660 0.022180 0.023761 0.025531 0.027458 0.029496 0.031816
2024-10-27 0.018265 0.020475 0.022894 0.025747 0.029029 0.032698 0.037126
2024-11-03 0.016536 0.019143 0.022108 0.025745 0.030111 0.035210 0.041658
2024-11-10 0.015424 0.018329 0.021738 0.026060 0.031433 0.037947 0.046517
2024-11-17 0.014244 0.017295 0.020968 0.025754 0.031883 0.039550 0.049989
2024-11-24 0.013353 0.016523 0.020426 0.025638 0.032494 0.041318 0.053714
2024-12-01 0.012491 0.015714 0.019763 0.025287 0.032729 0.042554 0.056754
2024-12-08 0.011904 0.015210 0.019443 0.025337 0.033460 0.044451 0.060782
2024-12-15 0.011235 0.014554 0.018874 0.025000 0.033615 0.045535 0.063692
2024-12-22 0.010578 0.013874 0.018228 0.024505 0.033500 0.046199 0.065999
2024-12-29 0.010079 0.013377 0.017799 0.024277 0.033729 0.047345 0.069065
2025-01-05 0.009612 0.012900 0.017368 0.024013 0.033877 0.048357 0.071967
2025-01-12 0.009082 0.012315 0.016763 0.023472 0.033589 0.048710 0.073881
2025-01-19 0.008831 0.012111 0.016686 0.023695 0.034455 0.050861 0.078814
2025-01-26 0.008534 0.011825 0.016474 0.023700 0.034977 0.052496 0.083006
2025-02-02 0.008339 0.011676 0.016453 0.023986 0.035944 0.054881 0.088619
2025-02-09 0.008001 0.011303 0.016080 0.023709 0.035995 0.055774 0.091710
2025-02-16 0.007731 0.011019 0.015829 0.023604 0.036310 0.057109 0.095662
2025-02-23 0.007424 0.010666 0.015455 0.023286 0.036253 0.057806 0.098498
2025-03-02 0.007227 0.010471 0.015315 0.023331 0.036797 0.059550 0.103376
2025-03-09 0.006955 0.010152 0.014969 0.023025 0.036727 0.060217 0.106265
2025-03-16 0.006666 0.009795 0.014548 0.022576 0.036387 0.060380 0.108187
2025-03-23 0.006447 0.009541 0.014281 0.022369 0.036451 0.061264 0.111572